Unsurprisingly, Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group Limited's (HKG:256) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.
A Closer Look At Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group has an accrual ratio of 0.21 for the year to December 2023. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of HK$216m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of HK$45.1m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of HK$216m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
On top of the noteworthy accrual ratio and the spike in non-operating revenue, we can also see that Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group benefitted from unusual items worth HK$51m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group's Profit Performance
Summing up, Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group and you'll want to know about these.
Our examination of Citychamp Watch & Jewellery Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.