Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300702) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 22% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.6x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical Performed Recently?
Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's P/S
Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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