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Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's (SHSE:603777) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  May 3 19:14

Despite Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603777) most recent earnings report having soft headline numbers, its stock has had a positive performance. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603777 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.28. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥260m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥47.1m. Shanghai LaiyifenLtd did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, we can see that a recent tax benefit, along with unusual items, have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore its accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai LaiyifenLtd.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥23m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd received a tax benefit of CN¥4.8m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

Our Take On Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's accrual ratio suggests its earnings are well backed by cash but its boost from unusual items, and a tax benefit, probably mean that the statutory number make the company seem more profitable than it is at an underlying level. Based on these factors, we think that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's statutory profits probably make it seem better than it is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai LaiyifenLtd you should know about.

Our examination of Shanghai LaiyifenLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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