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Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (SHSE:601799) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Simply Wall St ·  May 2 18:11

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting Systems Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601799) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

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SHSE:601799 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to March 2024, Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥209m despite its profit of CN¥1.14b, mentioned above. We also note that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥209m.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's Profit Performance

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 31% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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