share_log

The Five-year Loss for Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech (SZSE:300771) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 30 23:29

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. For example the Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300771) share price dropped 61% over five years. That's an unpleasant experience for long term holders.

While the last five years has been tough for Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Looking back five years, both Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 33% per year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 17% compound annual share price fall. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. With a P/E ratio of 58.62, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:300771 Earnings Per Share Growth May 1st 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech the TSR over the last 5 years was -58%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 0.7% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 10% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment