It's been a good week for Juewei Food Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603517) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest first-quarter results, and the shares gained 8.8% to CN¥20.31. Revenues were CN¥1.7b, 24% shy of what the analysts were expecting, although statutory earnings of CN¥0.56 per share were roughly in line with what was forecast. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Juewei Food after the latest results.
After the latest results, the 16 analysts covering Juewei Food are now predicting revenues of CN¥8.12b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 129% to CN¥1.25. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥8.56b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.48 in 2024. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a substantial drop in earnings per share estimates.
The consensus price target fell 11% to CN¥29.35, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Juewei Food, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥46.00 and the most bearish at CN¥18.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Juewei Food's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 16% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 10% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Juewei Food to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Juewei Food. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Juewei Food going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Juewei Food that you need to take into consideration.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.