Innovation New Material Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600361) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 59x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Innovation New Material Technology's and the market's earnings growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
How Is Innovation New Material Technology's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Innovation New Material Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 2.6% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 116% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 48% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 38% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Innovation New Material Technology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Innovation New Material Technology currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Innovation New Material Technology (at least 2 which are concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Innovation New Material Technology. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.