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Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (SHSE:600638) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Surges 15% This Past Week

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (SHSE:600638) Earnings and Shareholder Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for the Last Five Years, but the Stock Surges 15% This Past Week

上海新黃浦實業集團(SHSE: 600638)的收益和股東回報率在過去五年中一直呈下降趨勢,但該股上週飆升了15%
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 21:24

This week we saw the Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600638) share price climb by 15%. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. After all, the share price is down 50% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

本週我們看到上海新黃浦實業集團有限公司(SHSE: 600638)的股價上漲了15%。但是在過去的五年中,該股表現不佳。畢竟,當時股價下跌了50%,表現大大低於市場。

While the stock has risen 15% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股在過去一週上漲了15%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

上海新黃浦實業集團在過去五年內實現盈利。大多數人會認爲這是一件好事,因此股價下跌是違反直覺的。其他指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。

We don't think that the 0.6% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 38% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

我們認爲0.6%不是影響股價的重要因素,因爲隨着股息的增加,它相當小。在此期間,收入實際上增長了38%。對收入和收益進行更詳細的審查可能會也可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因;可能有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600638 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600638 2024 年 4 月 30 日收益和收入增長

Take a more thorough look at Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解上海新黃浦實業集團的財務狀況。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group, it has a TSR of -46% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。以上海新黃浦實業集團爲例,其過去5年的股東回報率爲-46%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.

我們遺憾地報告,上海新黃浦實業集團的股東今年下跌了18%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場13%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中8%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解上海新黃浦實業集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經確定了上海新黃浦實業集團的3個警告信號(其中一個可能很嚴重),你應該注意這些信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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