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Investors More Bullish on Sai MicroElectronics (SZSE:300456) This Week as Stock Rises 4.0%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 29 21:07

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. To wit, the Sai MicroElectronics share price has climbed 43% in five years, easily topping the market return of 6.6% (ignoring dividends).

Since the stock has added CN¥527m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

We don't think that Sai MicroElectronics' modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last 5 years Sai MicroElectronics saw its revenue grow at 11% per year. That's a pretty good long term growth rate. While the share price has beat the market, compounding at 7% yearly, over five years, there's certainly some potential that the market hasn't fully considered the growth track record. The key question is whether revenue growth will slow down, and if so, how quickly. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300456 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024

We know that Sai MicroElectronics has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Sai MicroElectronics

A Different Perspective

Although it hurts that Sai MicroElectronics returned a loss of 8.2% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 13%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Sai MicroElectronics , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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