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There's No Escaping Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited's (HKG:363) Muted Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 29 19:40

Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited's (HKG:363) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Shanghai Industrial Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:363 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 29th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Industrial Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Shanghai Industrial Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Shanghai Industrial Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 48%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 56% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.2% per year as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Shanghai Industrial Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Industrial Holdings' P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Industrial Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Industrial Holdings (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Shanghai Industrial Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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