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We Think That There Are Some Issues For China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection (SZSE:301508) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

We Think That There Are Some Issues For China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection (SZSE:301508) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

我們認爲,中國機械環宇認證檢驗(SZSE: 301508)除了其可觀的收益外,還存在一些問題
Simply Wall St ·  04/28 20:43

China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection Co., LTD's (SZSE:301508) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

中國機械環宇檢驗有限公司(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:301508)近期的強勁收益並沒有對該股產生太大影響。我們認爲這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外並關注他們所看到的情況。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301508 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 301508 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection's Earnings

仔細看看中國機械環宇認證檢驗的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection recorded an accrual ratio of 0.60. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥143.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥402m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥68m a year ago though, so China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,中國機械環宇認證檢驗記錄的應計比率爲0.60。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲1.430億元人民幣,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了4.02億元人民幣。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲6800萬元人民幣,因此中國機械環宇認證和檢驗在過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對中國機械環宇認證與檢驗的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection's Profit Performance

我們對中國機械環宇認證檢驗的利潤表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 25% over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

正如我們已經明確指出的那樣,我們有點擔心中國機械環宇認證檢驗沒有用自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。出於這個原因,我們認爲中機環宇檢驗的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者留下過於積極的印象。儘管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在過去三年中增長了25%。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解中國機械環宇認證與檢驗,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。在投資風險方面,我們已經通過中國機械環宇認證和檢驗局確定了兩個警告信號,了解這些信號應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解中國機械環宇認證檢驗公司利潤的性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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