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Why Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's (SZSE:301092) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's (SZSE:301092) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼浙江正光實業(SZSE: 301092)的收益不穩定只是問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  04/28 20:24

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301092) recently. We did some further digging and think they have a few more reasons to be concerned beyond the statutory profit.

最近,浙江正光實業股份有限公司(SZSE: 301092)的疲軟收益並沒有給市場留下深刻的印象。我們進行了進一步的挖掘,認爲除了法定利潤外,他們還有其他一些值得關注的理由。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301092 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 301092 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入記錄

Zooming In On Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's Earnings

放大浙江正光實業的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者還沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

For the year to March 2024, Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial had an accrual ratio of 0.47. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥143m despite its profit of CN¥114.3m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥143m, this year, indicates high risk.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,浙江正光實業的應計比率爲0.47。通常,這對未來的盈利能力來說是個壞兆頭。事實上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲1.143億元人民幣,但其流出量仍爲1.43億元人民幣,如上所述。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年1.43億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對浙江正光實業的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's Profit Performance

我們對浙江正光實業盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial and you'll want to know about these.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲浙江正光實業的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。因此,我們認爲浙江正光實業的潛在盈利能力很可能低於其法定利潤。不幸的是,在過去的十二個月中,其每股收益有所下降。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解浙江正光實業,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。你可能會有興趣知道,我們發現了浙江正光實業的兩個警告標誌,你會想知道的。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhejiang Zhengguang Industrial's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解浙江正光實業利潤的性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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