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Gansu Golden Solar Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300093) 29% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27 21:04

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Gansu Golden Solar Co., Ltd (SZSE:300093) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 58% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Gansu Golden Solar is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Building industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300093 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 28th 2024

What Does Gansu Golden Solar's Recent Performance Look Like?

The revenue growth achieved at Gansu Golden Solar over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Gansu Golden Solar will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Gansu Golden Solar's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 76% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Gansu Golden Solar's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Gansu Golden Solar's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Gansu Golden Solar revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't impacting its high P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current industry expectations. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term trends, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Gansu Golden Solar (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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