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Revenues Not Telling The Story For H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT)

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27 10:40

H World Group Limited's (NASDAQ:HTHT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGS:HTHT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024

What Does H World Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

H World Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on H World Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For H World Group?

H World Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 58%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 115% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.1% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that H World Group's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does H World Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It comes as a surprise to see H World Group trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - H World Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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