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Further Upside For ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (NYSE:ZIM) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 32% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27 08:21

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (NYSE:ZIM) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Shipping industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider ZIM Integrated Shipping Services as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ZIM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024

How Has ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ZIM Integrated Shipping Services will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 59% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 29% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should demonstrate some strength in company's business, generating growth of 3.3% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. While this isn't a particularly impressive figure, it should be noted that the the industry is expected to decline by 0.8% each year.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' P/S falls short of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook against a shaky industry isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a superior revenue outlook with some actual growth, we can only assume investor uncertainty is what's been suppressing the P/S figures. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to keep swimming against the current of the broader industry turmoil. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for ZIM Integrated Shipping Services that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of ZIM Integrated Shipping Services' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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