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Getting In Cheap On Reservoir Media, Inc. (NASDAQ:RSVR) Is Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 27 08:00

When close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Reservoir Media, Inc. (NASDAQ:RSVR) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

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NasdaqGM:RSVR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024

What Does Reservoir Media's Recent Performance Look Like?

Reservoir Media certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Reservoir Media will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Reservoir Media would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 15% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 78% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.9% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it concerning that Reservoir Media is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Reservoir Media's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've concluded that Reservoir Media currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Reservoir Media is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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