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Zhejiang Xianju Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002332) Soars 25% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 20:02

Zhejiang Xianju Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002332) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 55x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002332 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Despite Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Xianju PharmaceuticalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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