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Improved Earnings Required Before Intco Medical Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300677) Stock's 26% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 19:30

Intco Medical Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300677) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, Intco Medical Technology may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 55x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Intco Medical Technology as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300677 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Intco Medical Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Intco Medical Technology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Intco Medical Technology's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 100%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 93% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 34% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Intco Medical Technology is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Intco Medical Technology's P/E

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Intco Medical Technology's P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Intco Medical Technology maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Intco Medical Technology that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Intco Medical Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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