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Smart-Core Holdings' (HKG:2166) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 19:01

The market for Smart-Core Holdings Limited's (HKG:2166) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

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SEHK:2166 Earnings and Revenue History April 26th 2024

A Closer Look At Smart-Core Holdings' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2023, Smart-Core Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.19. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$356m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$71.1m. Smart-Core Holdings' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Smart-Core Holdings.

Our Take On Smart-Core Holdings' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Smart-Core Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Smart-Core Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Smart-Core Holdings has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Smart-Core Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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