It's been a soft week for Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600971) shares, which are down 10%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been very strong. In three years the stock price has launched 113% higher: a great result. So the recent fall in the share price should be viewed in that context. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 10%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During three years of share price growth, Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd achieved compound earnings per share growth of 31% per year. We note that the 29% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This observation indicates that the market's attitude to the business hasn't changed all that much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
It is of course excellent to see how Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was 169%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 54% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 23% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Anhui Hengyuan Coal Industry and Electricity PowerLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.