With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.8x Luye Pharma Group Ltd. (HKG:2186) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Luye Pharma Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
How Is Luye Pharma Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Luye Pharma Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 36% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Luye Pharma Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Luye Pharma Group's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Luye Pharma Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Luye Pharma Group with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Luye Pharma Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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