share_log

Market Cool On Globe Life Inc.'s (NYSE:GL) Earnings Pushing Shares 35% Lower

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 06:56

Globe Life Inc. (NYSE:GL) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 35% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 30% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Globe Life may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.1x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Globe Life as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Globe Life will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Globe Life's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 50% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 10% each year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Globe Life is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Globe Life's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Globe Life currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Globe Life (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Globe Life. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment