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LivePerson, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LPSN) 52% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 06:17

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the LivePerson, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPSN) share price has dived 52% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 89% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, LivePerson's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:LPSN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

How LivePerson Has Been Performing

LivePerson hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think LivePerson's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For LivePerson?

LivePerson's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 9.6% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 23% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that LivePerson's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Shares in LivePerson have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that LivePerson's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for LivePerson (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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