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Voyager Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:VYGR) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 26 06:06

Voyager Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:VYGR) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

After such a large drop in price, Voyager Therapeutics may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.5x and even P/S higher than 61x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:VYGR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

What Does Voyager Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Voyager Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Voyager Therapeutics.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Voyager Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The amazing performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 39% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 159% per year.

In light of this, it's understandable that Voyager Therapeutics' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Voyager Therapeutics' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Voyager Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Voyager Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Voyager Therapeutics (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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