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Earnings Miss: Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Earnings Miss: Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 18% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

收益不佳:蘇州麥克斯韋科技有限公司每股收益未達到18%,分析師正在修改預測
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 00:03

Suzhou Maxwell Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300751) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 6.1% to CN¥106 in the week after its latest first-quarter results. It was not a great result overall. While revenues of CN¥2.2b were in line with analyst predictions, earnings were less than expected, missing statutory estimates by 18% to hit CN¥0.93 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

蘇州麥克斯韋科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300751)的股東可能會感到有些失望,因爲其股價在公佈最新第一季度業績後的一週內下跌6.1%,至106元人民幣。總體而言,這不是一個好結果。儘管22億元人民幣的收入與分析師的預測一致,但收益低於預期,比法定預期低18%,達到每股0.93元人民幣。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:300751 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 26th 2024
SZSE: 300751 2024年4月26日收益和收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Suzhou Maxwell Technologies from 16 analysts is for revenues of CN¥11.5b in 2024. If met, it would imply a huge 26% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 86% to CN¥6.37. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥11.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥6.37 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新業績,16位分析師對蘇州麥克斯韋科技的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲115億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這意味着其收入在過去12個月中將大幅增長26%。預計每股法定收益將飆升86%,至6.37元人民幣。在本報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2024年的收入爲115億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲6.37元人民幣。因此,很明顯,儘管分析師已經更新了估計,但在最新業績公佈後,對該業務的預期沒有重大變化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥124, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Suzhou Maxwell Technologies at CN¥188 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥75.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

收入或收益預期或124元人民幣的目標股價沒有變化,這表明該公司在最近的業績中達到了預期。但是,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師目標股價時也喜歡考慮估計值的差異。目前,最看漲的分析師對蘇州麥克斯韋科技的估值爲每股188元人民幣,而最看跌的分析師估值爲75.00元人民幣。注意到分析師目標股價的巨大差距了嗎?對我們來說,這意味着基礎業務存在相當廣泛的可能情景。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 36% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 39% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 23% per year. So it's pretty clear that Suzhou Maxwell Technologies is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

我們可以從大局的角度看待這些估計值的另一種方式,例如預測如何與過去的表現相提並論,以及預測相對於業內其他公司是否或多或少看漲。分析師表示,截至2024年底將帶來更多相同的情況,收入按年計算預計將增長36%。這與其在過去五年中39%的年增長率一致。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長23%。因此,很明顯,蘇州麥克斯韋科技的增長速度預計將大大超過其行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥124, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

要了解的最重要的一點是,市場情緒沒有重大變化,分析師再次確認該業務的表現符合他們先前的每股收益預期。幸運的是,他們還再次確認了收入數字,表明收入符合預期。此外,我們的數據表明,收入的增長速度預計將快於整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在124元人民幣,最新估計不足以對其目標股價產生影響。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Suzhou Maxwell Technologies. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Suzhou Maxwell Technologies analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們不會很快就蘇州麥克斯韋科技得出結論。長期盈利能力比明年的利潤重要得多。根據多位蘇州麥克斯韋科技分析師的估計,到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Even so, be aware that Suzhou Maxwell Technologies is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

即便如此,請注意,蘇州麥克斯韋科技在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警告信號,其中一個有點令人不快...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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