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Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. Just Recorded A 7.7% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. Just Recorded A 7.7% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

東方航空物流有限公司剛剛錄得每股收益7.7%:以下是分析師的預測下一步
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 20:47

As you might know, Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601156) just kicked off its latest annual results with some very strong numbers. The company beat expectations with revenues of CN¥21b arriving 5.9% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were CN¥1.57, 7.7% ahead of estimates. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

你可能知道,東方航空物流有限公司(SHSE: 601156)剛剛以一些非常強勁的數字拉開了其最新年度業績的序幕。該公司超出預期,收入爲210億元人民幣,比預期高出5.9%。法定每股收益(EPS)爲1.57元人民幣,比預期高出7.7%。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601156 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 26th 2024
SHSE: 601156 2024 年 4 月 26 日的收益和收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Eastern Air Logistics from six analysts is for revenues of CN¥25.1b in 2024. If met, it would imply a substantial 22% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 27% to CN¥1.99. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥23.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.90 in 2024. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

考慮到最新業績,六位分析師對東方航空物流的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲251億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這意味着其收入在過去12個月中將大幅增長22%。預計每股收益將激增27%,至1.99元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲230億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.90元人民幣。因此,鑑於明年收入和每股收益預測均有所上調,最新業績公佈後,市場情緒似乎略有上升。

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Eastern Air Logistics 9.9% to CN¥22.16on the back of these upgrades. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Eastern Air Logistics, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥24.00 and the most bearish at CN¥20.79 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

在這些升級的支持下,分析師將東方航空物流的目標股價上調了9.9%,至22.16元人民幣也就不足爲奇了。但是,這並不是我們可以從這些數據中得出的唯一結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師目標股價時也喜歡考慮估計值的差異。對東方航空物流的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲24.00元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股20.79元人民幣。由於估值範圍如此狹窄,分析師顯然對他們認爲的業務價值有相似的看法。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Eastern Air Logistics' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 22% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 13% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Eastern Air Logistics to grow faster than the wider industry.

從現在的大局來看,我們可以理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,東方航空物流的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計到2024年底的年化收入增長率爲22%,明顯快於過去五年中13%的歷史增長。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入將以每年10%的速度增長。顯而易見,儘管增長前景比最近更加光明,但分析師也預計,東方航空物流的增長速度將快於整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Eastern Air Logistics' earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

對我們來說,最大的收穫是共識的每股收益上調,這表明人們對東方航空物流明年盈利潛力的信心明顯改善。令人高興的是,他們還上調了收入預期,並預測其增長速度將超過整個行業。目標股價也大幅提高,分析師顯然認爲該業務的內在價值正在提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Eastern Air Logistics going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

根據這種思路,我們認爲該業務的長期前景比明年的收益重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對東方航空物流到2026年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Eastern Air Logistics .

此外,您還應該了解我們在東方航空物流中發現的 1 個警告標誌。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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