share_log

Investors in ChinaLin Securities (SZSE:002945) Have Unfortunately Lost 18% Over the Last Year

Investors in ChinaLin Securities (SZSE:002945) Have Unfortunately Lost 18% Over the Last Year

不幸的是,華林證券(深圳證券交易所:002945)的投資者在過去一年中損失了18%
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 19:58

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Unfortunately the ChinaLin Securities Co., Ltd (SZSE:002945) share price slid 18% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 13%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 5.4% in the last three years. The share price has dropped 25% in three months. We note that the company has reported results fairly recently; and the market is hardly delighted. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

從市場上漲中獲益的最簡單方法是購買指數基金。儘管個股可以成爲大贏家,但更多股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。不幸的是,華林證券有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002945)的股價在十二個月內下跌了18%。考慮到市場下跌了13%,這真是令人失望。但是,長期回報並沒有那麼糟糕,該股在過去三年中下跌了5.4%。股價在三個月內下跌了25%。我們注意到,該公司最近公佈了業績;市場對此並不滿意。你可以在我們的公司報告中查看最新的數字。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估的是,該公司的經濟狀況是否與這些令人難以置信的股東回報步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。所以我們就這麼做吧。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Unhappily, ChinaLin Securities had to report a 93% decline in EPS over the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 18% the share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have expected earnings to drop faster. With a P/E ratio of 944.99, it's fair to say the market sees an EPS rebound on the cards.

不幸的是,中林證券不得不報告去年每股收益下降了93%。每股收益的下降要比股價下跌的18%嚴重得多。因此,目前市場可能不太擔心每股收益的數字,或者可能預計收益會更快地下降。市盈率爲944.99,可以公平地說,市場預計每股收益將反彈。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002945 Earnings Per Share Growth April 25th 2024
SZSE: 002945 每股收益增長 2024 年 4 月 25 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, ChinaLin Securities shareholders did even worse, losing 18% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.2%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for ChinaLin Securities you should be aware of.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約13%,但中林證券股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了18%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺0.2%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。一個很好的例子:我們發現了兩個你應該注意的中林證券警告信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論