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Why Shanghai @hubLtd's (SHSE:603881) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 25 19:29

Shanghai @hub Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603881) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603881 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024

Zooming In On Shanghai @hubLtd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Shanghai @hubLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥808m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥123.0m. Shanghai @hubLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Shanghai @hubLtd's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Shanghai @hubLtd has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Shanghai @hubLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Shanghai @hubLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Shanghai @hubLtd and we think they deserve your attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Shanghai @hubLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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