share_log

Plug Power Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PLUG) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 25 07:42

Plug Power Inc. (NASDAQ:PLUG) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 73% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Plug Power's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Electrical industry is similar at about 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PLUG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

What Does Plug Power's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Plug Power has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Plug Power will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Plug Power's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Plug Power would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 27% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 32% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 36% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Plug Power's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Following Plug Power's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Plug Power's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Plug Power that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment