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Little Excitement Around AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) Revenues As Shares Take 46% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 25 06:54

The AVITA Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCEL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 46%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, AVITA Medical may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13.1x and even P/S higher than 63x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:RCEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

What Does AVITA Medical's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, AVITA Medical has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AVITA Medical.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like AVITA Medical's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 46% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 180% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 39% per annum during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 160% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that AVITA Medical's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On AVITA Medical's P/S

AVITA Medical's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of AVITA Medical's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for AVITA Medical that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of AVITA Medical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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