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Revenues Working Against Inotiv, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NOTV) Share Price Following 58% Dive

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 25 06:35

Inotiv, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOTV) shares have retraced a considerable 58% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 13% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Inotiv may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Life Sciences industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:NOTV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024

What Does Inotiv's Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Inotiv's and the industry's retreating revenue lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to deteriorate further, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's revenue continues tracking the industry.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Inotiv.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Inotiv's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Despite the lack of growth, the company was still able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.7% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.8% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Inotiv's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Inotiv's P/S Mean For Investors?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Inotiv's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Inotiv maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Inotiv (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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