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YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's (SZSE:300105) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's (SZSE:300105) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

煙臺龍源電力科技(深圳證券交易所代碼:300105)的利潤可能誇大了其真正的盈利潛力
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 19:57

Shareholders were pleased with the recent earnings report from YanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300105). Despite this, we feel that there are some reasons to be cautious with these earnings.

股東們對煙臺龍源動力科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:300105)最近的收益報告感到滿意。儘管如此,我們認爲有一些理由對這些收益持謹慎態度。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300105 Earnings and Revenue History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 300105 2024 年 4 月 24 日的收益和收入記錄

A Closer Look At YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's Earnings

仔細看看煙臺龍源電力科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

YanTai LongYuan Power Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥141.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥94m in the last year. We also note that YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥94m. Having said that it seems that a recent tax benefit and some unusual items have impacted its profit (and this its accrual ratio).

煙臺龍源電力科技截至2023年12月的一年度的應計比率爲0.24。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。儘管該公司公佈了1.412億元的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了9400萬加元人民幣。我們還注意到,煙臺龍源電力科技去年的自由現金流實際上也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其9400萬元人民幣的流出所困擾。話雖如此,最近的稅收優惠和一些不尋常的項目似乎影響了其利潤(以及應計比率)。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of YanTai LongYuan Power Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對煙臺龍源動力科技的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥6.5m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

該公司去年有不尋常的項目將利潤提高了650萬加元,這一事實可能在某種程度上可以解釋其應計比率爲何如此疲軟。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。我們統計了全球大多數上市公司的數字,不尋常的物品在自然界中很常見。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的項目在本年度不會再次出現,因此我們預計明年的利潤將疲軟(也就是說,在業務沒有增長的情況下)。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that YanTai LongYuan Power Technology received a tax benefit of CN¥25m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

除了顯著的應計比率外,我們可以看到煙臺龍源電力科技獲得了2500萬元人民幣的稅收優惠。這是有意義的,因爲公司通常納稅而不是獲得稅收優惠。獲得稅收優惠本身顯然是一件好事。但是,我們的數據表明,稅收優惠可以暫時增加賬面當年的法定利潤,但隨後利潤可能會回落。如果稅收優惠可能不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。

Our Take On YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's Profit Performance

我們對煙臺龍源動力科技盈利表現的看法

Summing up, YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's tax benefit and unusual items boosted its statutory profit leading to poor cash conversion, as reflected by its accrual ratio. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at YanTai LongYuan Power Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about YanTai LongYuan Power Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for YanTai LongYuan Power Technology (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

總而言之,煙臺龍源電力科技的稅收優惠和特殊項目提高了其法定利潤,導致現金轉換不佳,其應計比率反映了這一點。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼煙臺龍源電力科技的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。如果您想進一步了解煙臺龍源電力科技作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了煙臺龍源電力科技的兩個警告標誌(其中一個不容忽視!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

Our examination of YanTai LongYuan Power Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對煙臺龍源電力科技的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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