The LC Logistics, Inc. (HKG:2490) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 136%. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Shipping industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may consider LC Logistics as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does LC Logistics' Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that LC Logistics' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on LC Logistics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For LC Logistics?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like LC Logistics' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 73%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 58% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that LC Logistics' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
LC Logistics shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of LC Logistics revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with LC Logistics.
If you're unsure about the strength of LC Logistics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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