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There May Be Reason For Hope In BGI Genomics' (SZSE:300676) Disappointing Earnings

There May Be Reason For Hope In BGI Genomics' (SZSE:300676) Disappointing Earnings

華大基因基因組學(深圳證券交易所代碼:300676)令人失望的收益可能有理由抱有希望
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 19:28

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300676) lackluster earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

股東們似乎對華大基因組有限公司漠不關心。”s(深圳證券交易所代碼:300676)上週的收益報告乏善可陳。我們的分析表明,儘管利潤疲軟,但業務基礎卻很牢固。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:300676 Earnings and Revenue History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 300676 2024 年 4 月 24 日的收益和收入記錄

Zooming In On BGI Genomics' Earnings

放大華大基因組學的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。儘管應計比率爲正(表明非現金利潤達到一定水平)不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙質利潤與現金流不匹配。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, BGI Genomics recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥92.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥828m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥828m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,華大基因組學記錄的應計比率爲0.21。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤。儘管該公司公佈了9,290萬元人民幣的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了8.28億元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年8.28億元的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of BGI Genomics.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對華大基因組學的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

BGI Genomics' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥53m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to December 2023, BGI Genomics had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

華大基因的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了5300萬元人民幣。如果這是一筆非現金費用,則可以更輕鬆地實現高現金轉換,因此令人驚訝的是,應計比率講述了一個不同的故事。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,華大基因組學有一筆不尋常的巨額項目支出。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯低於原來的水平。

Our Take On BGI Genomics' Profit Performance

我們對華大基因組學盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, BGI Genomics' accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, we think that BGI Genomics' profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into BGI Genomics, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for BGI Genomics (2 are a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

總之,華大基因的應計比率表明,儘管不尋常的項目打壓了利潤,但其法定收益沒有現金流支持。基於這些因素,我們認爲華大基因的利潤是衡量其潛在盈利能力的相當保守的指南。如果你想更深入地研究華大基因組學,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。例如,我們已經確定了你應該熟悉的華大基因組學的3個警告信號(2個有點令人擔憂)。

Our examination of BGI Genomics has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對華大基因組學的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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