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There's Reason For Concern Over Sprocomm Intelligence Limited's (HKG:1401) Massive 31% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 23 19:46

Sprocomm Intelligence Limited (HKG:1401) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 341% gain over the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Sprocomm Intelligence is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.9x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Tech industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1401 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 23rd 2024

What Does Sprocomm Intelligence's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Sprocomm Intelligence certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sprocomm Intelligence's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Sprocomm Intelligence's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sprocomm Intelligence would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 95%. The latest three year period has also seen a 29% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Sprocomm Intelligence's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Sprocomm Intelligence's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Sprocomm Intelligence revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sprocomm Intelligence (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sprocomm Intelligence, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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