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With Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (NYSE:HLI) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 23 09:42

Houlihan Lokey, Inc.'s (NYSE:HLI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

The recently shrinking earnings for Houlihan Lokey have been in line with the market. It might be that many expect the company's earnings to strengthen positively despite the tough market conditions, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HLI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 23rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Houlihan Lokey.

How Is Houlihan Lokey's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Houlihan Lokey's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.1% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 11% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 27% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Houlihan Lokey is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Houlihan Lokey's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Houlihan Lokey maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Houlihan Lokey that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Houlihan Lokey's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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