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Benign Growth For Aterian, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATER) Underpins Stock's 36% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 23 06:01

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Aterian, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATER) shares are down a considerable 36% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may consider Aterian as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:ATER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 23rd 2024

What Does Aterian's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Aterian's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Aterian.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aterian would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 23% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 35% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.6%.

With this information, we are not surprised that Aterian is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Aterian's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that Aterian maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Aterian's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Aterian (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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