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Guoguang Electric's (SZSE:002045) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 22 20:33

The stock price didn't jump after Guoguang Electric Company Limited (SZSE:002045) posted decent earnings last week. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

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SZSE:002045 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Guoguang Electric increased the number of shares on issue by 22% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Guoguang Electric's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Guoguang Electric's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

As you can see above, Guoguang Electric has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 93% over three years. And the 103% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 96% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Guoguang Electric can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Guoguang Electric's net profit by CN¥33m over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Guoguang Electric's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Guoguang Electric got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guoguang Electric's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Guoguang Electric at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Guoguang Electric and you'll want to know about this.

Our examination of Guoguang Electric has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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