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LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Co. Ltd.'s (SZSE:300989) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 22 18:20

LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Co. Ltd. (SZSE:300989) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 33%.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking LAY-OUT Planning Consultants is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 2.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300989 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024

What Does LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LAY-OUT Planning Consultants would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.4%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 13% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 87% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' P/S?

LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of LAY-OUT Planning Consultants revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with LAY-OUT Planning Consultants (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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