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Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 22 08:55

Lennar Corporation's (NYSE:LEN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Lennar has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LEN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 22nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lennar will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Lennar?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Lennar's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 47% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Lennar's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Lennar's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Lennar with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lennar, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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