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FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 08:41

FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:FCEL) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking FuelCell Energy is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGM:FCEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 20th 2024

How Has FuelCell Energy Performed Recently?

FuelCell Energy could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on FuelCell Energy.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like FuelCell Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 48% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 42% per year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 34% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that FuelCell Energy's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On FuelCell Energy's P/S

Even after such a strong price drop, FuelCell Energy's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into FuelCell Energy shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for FuelCell Energy you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on FuelCell Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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