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With EPS Growth And More, Guess? (NYSE:GES) Makes An Interesting Case

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 21 09:44

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making.  Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals.  A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Guess? (NYSE:GES). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

How Fast Is Guess? Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow.  That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company.   Shareholders will be happy to know that Guess?'s EPS has grown 34% each year, compound, over three years.   If growth like this continues on into the future, then shareholders will have plenty to smile about.  

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market.    While we note Guess? achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 3.4% to US$2.8b.  That's a real positive.  

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time.  Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

NYSE:GES Earnings and Revenue History April 21st 2024

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Guess?'s future EPS 100% free.  

Are Guess? Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's a necessity that company leaders act in the best interest of shareholders and so insider investment always comes as a reassurance to the market.  Shareholders will be pleased by the fact that insiders own Guess? shares worth a considerable sum.     We note that their impressive stake in the company is worth US$304m.   That equates to 22% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders.  So there is opportunity here to invest in a company whose management have tangible incentives to deliver.  

Does Guess? Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

For growth investors, Guess?'s raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night.   Further, the high level of insider ownership is impressive and suggests that the management appreciates the EPS growth and has faith in Guess?'s continuing strength.  The growth and insider confidence is looked upon well and so it's worthwhile to investigate further with a view to discern the stock's true value.     Before you take the next step you should know about the 3 warning signs for Guess? (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.  

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of  companies which have demonstrated growth backed by recent insider purchases.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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