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Here's Why Yongjin Technology Group (SHSE:603995) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 21 21:16

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Yongjin Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603995) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Yongjin Technology Group Carry?

As you can see below, Yongjin Technology Group had CN¥3.11b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.06b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.05b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603995 Debt to Equity History April 22nd 2024

A Look At Yongjin Technology Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yongjin Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥4.51b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.89b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.06b as well as receivables valued at CN¥937.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥6.74b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, Yongjin Technology Group uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 10.0 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. While Yongjin Technology Group doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yongjin Technology Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Yongjin Technology Group burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Yongjin Technology Group's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Yongjin Technology Group stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yongjin Technology Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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