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Market Cool On Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688148) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Lower

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 22:45

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688148) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, since almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688148 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024

How Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Has Been Performing

For instance, Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 28%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 112% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 21% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's P/S?

The southerly movements of Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We're very surprised to see Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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