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With A 26% Price Drop For Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry Co., LTD. (SZSE:300459) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 21:04

Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry Co., LTD. (SZSE:300459) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 52% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 54.6x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300459 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry.

How Is Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 51%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 164% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 35%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's P/E?

Even after such a strong price drop, Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Zhejiang Jinke Tom Culture Industry. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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