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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor Material Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688720) Shares Dive 35%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 20:54

Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor Material Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688720) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 35% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 76.3x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been advantageous for Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688720 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 26% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 35%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd's P/E?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd's very lofty P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Aisen Semiconductor MaterialLtd that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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