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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300169) Shares Dive 30%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 20:27

The Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300169) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 20% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300169 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024

How Has Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 42% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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