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Improved Revenues Required Before Baxter International Inc. (NYSE:BAX) Shares Find Their Feet

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 20 10:16

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x Baxter International Inc. (NYSE:BAX) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:BAX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 20th 2024

How Has Baxter International Performed Recently?

Baxter International could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Baxter International.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Baxter International's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 27% overall rise in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.3% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Baxter International's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Baxter International's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Baxter International (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Baxter International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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