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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Qingci Games Inc.'s (HKG:6633) 30% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 19 21:06

Qingci Games Inc. (HKG:6633) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 57% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Qingci Games' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6633 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 20th 2024

How Has Qingci Games Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Qingci Games as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Qingci Games' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Qingci Games would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 44% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 26% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 20% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Qingci Games is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Qingci Games' P/S?

Qingci Games' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've seen that Qingci Games maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Qingci Games with six simple checks.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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