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Revenues Tell The Story For Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM)

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 19 15:33

Newmont Corporation's (NYSE:NEM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NEM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024

How Has Newmont Performed Recently?

Newmont has been doing a reasonable job lately as its revenue hasn't declined as much as most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the company to continue to outperform the industry, which has propped up the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price, especially if revenue continues to dissolve.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Newmont will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Newmont?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Newmont would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no revenue growth to show for over the last three years either. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.8% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Newmont is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does Newmont's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Newmont's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Newmont has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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